Alliances
The news of V joining hands with J has been the highlight of newspapers and channels in the past few days. After opposing J for so many years, after being arrested by her government under POTA, after cursing her even last week, V has joined with J.
For a minute let us forget whether the goals of their parties match (as if people actually match goals before making alliances). Let us forget if it makes sense to their political beliefs. Let us appraise the alliance merely by a political standpoint assuming that the sole intention is to win in the election. Does the alliance make sense now? Definitely not. What have these guys achieved? Let me draw a parallel for this scenario with the job hunting scenario. If suppose a guy has switched jobs very recently and gets an even better offer. What will be the major deterrents in his taking the offer? a) His resume would start looking bad with too many switches in too less a time - losing the confidence of future takers b) He wouldn't be able to make another switch immediately. This means that the guy has to spend a considerable amount of time with the new company. What does this give to the new company? A very strong hold. The new company can make the guy work like hell as it knows that he doesn't have any move to play for some time. This would be the same case with V. knowing that he can't go back to his previous alliance, J can dictate terms here. I bet V wouldn't get as many seats in J's alliance as he was about to get in the previous alliance. I just wonder how V missed noticing this big a goof-up.
On a lighter note, I see 2 new theories evolving from this extremely surprising move in the TN political scenario.
a) V's theory of relative attraction:
A political party's attraction towards an alliance is directly proportional to the number of seats allocated by the major party in the alliance to the prospective party, and is independent of prior relationships held with same or other alliances.
b) J's theory of black hole:
All parties, irrespective their past (including yesterday), will be absorbed by the black hole that is called the acquiring party
I) if the prospective alliance party exhibits friction in its current position/ alliance
II) definitely if the combining party is willing to have no will of its own
posted by Jammy at 5:18 PM
3 Comments:
Jammy...you are mistaken about the fact that this alliance does not make sense. Actually it makes pretty good political sense, firstly Vaiko ensures that the caste coverage of the ADMK alliance is better. Then there are pockets which are MDMK strongholds and have never been won by the ADMK. So instead of 35 seats which will be surely lost by the ADMK, this alliance has ensured that atleast 10 of those seats will be won by the alliance.
@Vetty
The reasons that you have given explain the sense for J to get into the alliance (better caste coverage, more seats brought to the alliance...). But what about V's benefits from the alliance?
More seats,More 'surandal'..that's the way it works..;)
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